Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.062863 0.071024 0.079380 0.088543 0.098281 0.108293 0.119336
2025-07-27 0.051286 0.063608 0.076849 0.091997 0.108714 0.126482 0.146678
2025-08-03 0.042157 0.056795 0.073191 0.092594 0.114635 0.138633 0.166487
2025-08-10 0.035693 0.051865 0.070657 0.093539 0.120140 0.149650 0.184445
2025-08-17 0.030020 0.047066 0.067595 0.093262 0.123725 0.158072 0.199117
2025-08-24 0.023930 0.040981 0.062355 0.089845 0.123178 0.161378 0.207628
2025-08-31 0.019308 0.036212 0.058266 0.087399 0.123417 0.165298 0.216582
2025-09-07 0.016495 0.033554 0.056591 0.087699 0.126763 0.172700 0.229445
2025-09-14 0.014535 0.031870 0.056011 0.089235 0.131503 0.181670 0.244081
2025-09-21 0.013631 0.031651 0.057329 0.093154 0.139154 0.194104 0.262799
2025-09-28 0.011952 0.030014 0.056551 0.094231 0.143179 0.202125 0.276261
2025-10-05 0.012315 0.031715 0.060494 0.101579 0.155139 0.219795 0.301259
2025-10-12 0.009689 0.028235 0.057039 0.099201 0.155052 0.223208 0.309770
2025-10-19 0.008859 0.027805 0.058018 0.102861 0.162778 0.236319 0.330114
2025-10-26 0.007428 0.026035 0.056859 0.103494 0.166543 0.244529 0.344549
2025-11-02 0.006265 0.024570 0.056034 0.104500 0.170730 0.253224 0.359554
2025-11-09 0.005023 0.022671 0.054371 0.104205 0.173122 0.259622 0.371721
2025-11-16 0.003468 0.019594 0.050524 0.100564 0.170903 0.260100 0.376529
2025-11-23 0.002366 0.017169 0.047511 0.097954 0.169928 0.262045 0.383056
2025-11-30 0.001796 0.015979 0.046522 0.098274 0.172875 0.268948 0.395694
2025-12-07 0.001443 0.015324 0.046428 0.099912 0.177609 0.278134 0.411173
2025-12-14 0.001349 0.015563 0.047985 0.104090 0.185864 0.291875 0.432363
2025-12-21 0.001033 0.014800 0.047602 0.105237 0.189899 0.300165 0.446748